In partnership with

THE RUNDOWN

The private sector added 62,000 jobs in March, beating estimates by more than half. That sounds like good news until you look at who's actually doing the hiring: businesses with fewer than 20 employees added 112,000 positions, while mid-size companies (50-249 employees) shed 26,000. The growth is real, but it's concentrated in the smallest firms and a single sector.

Today we're covering the new jobs numbers that just dropped (and what they signal ahead of Friday's bigger government report), a federal survey showing actual hiring at its lowest since the pandemic, and Oracle's 30,000-person layoff to fund AI servers. Plus, four astronauts are headed to the Moon.

Let's get into it.

📊 THE MARKET
The ADP jobs report just dropped. 62,000 jobs added, but look at who's actually hiring.

The ADP jobs report, which tracks private-sector payrolls across millions of companies, showed employers added 62,000 jobs in March. That beat economists' expectations of 40,000 and followed February's 66,000 gain. Healthcare and education led with 58,000 new positions, followed by construction at 30,000 and tech at 16,000.

Here's the catch. Trade, transportation, and utilities lost 58,000 jobs, and manufacturing lost 11,000. The company size split is even more telling: tiny businesses with fewer than 20 employees added 112,000 positions, while mid-size companies (50-249 employees) lost 26,000.

Pay for people staying in their jobs grew 4.5% over the past year, while people who switched jobs saw 6.6% gains. Friday's BLS jobs report (the government's official count, and the bigger one Wall Street watches) is expected to show a rebound of 60,000 jobs after February's 92,000 decline, with unemployment holding at 4.4%. The headline number looks stable, but the growth is coming almost entirely from small businesses and healthcare, while the middle of the economy keeps contracting.

Companies aren't laying people off. They've just stopped hiring. And it just hit a pandemic low.

The JOLTS report, a federal survey of job openings and hiring released yesterday, showed that actual hiring dropped to 4.8 million people in February, the lowest since March 2020 when COVID first shut everything down. That's the sharpest single-month drop since 2016 outside the pandemic.

Job openings fell to 6.9 million from 7.2 million in January. And the share of workers voluntarily quitting their jobs stayed pinned at 1.9% for the eighth straight month, a clear sign people don't feel confident enough to leave.

Construction and professional services saw the sharpest pullbacks. Indeed's Hiring Lab called it "stuck in neutral," and that was before the Middle East conflict pushed oil above $110 and raised concerns about rising prices. The layoff waves get the headlines, but the quiet hiring freeze is what's actually defining this market.

Oracle cut up to 30,000 people to fund AI data centers, via a 6 a.m. email

Oracle began laying off an estimated 20,000 to 30,000 employees on March 31, roughly 18% of its global workforce. It is the largest layoff in the company's 47-year history. Workers across the U.S., India, Canada, and Mexico received identical termination notices at 6 a.m. under the name "Oracle Leadership," with no advance notice and no conversation with a direct manager.

The cuts are expected to free $8-10 billion in cash flow. Nearly all of it will go toward AI data center infrastructure that Oracle's current balance sheet can't support without the headcount reduction.

Among the hardest-hit units: Revenue and Health Sciences, and SaaS and Virtual Operations Services, each seeing workforce reductions of at least 30%. When a company fires a fifth of its workforce to build servers, the capital allocation math is clear, even if the human math is ugly.

7 Stocks to Buy Before SpaceX Goes Public

The space race isn’t science fiction anymore… it’s a revenue story.

Launch costs are falling. Government contracts are rising. Satellite constellations and orbital AI are turning space into a scalable business.

Our 7 Best Space Stocks to Own in 2026 report reveals where smart money could flow next.

Inside you’ll discover:

  • Companies powering launches, satellites, data, defense, and in-space infrastructure — positioned at the core of the modern space economy

  • Clear breakdowns of how each business actually makes money — so you’re investing in cash flow, not hype

  • Key catalysts and red flags for 2026 — helping you weigh upside against real-world risk

  • Insight on a potential SpaceX or Starlink IPO — and where the better risk-reward may already exist

If space shifts from niche theme to mainstream growth story… this report shows you how to be early, not late.

🤖 THE IMPACT OF AI
A Federal Reserve study found AI's split: fewer jobs for juniors, higher wages for seniors

A February 2026 study from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas looked at wage and employment data across industries most affected by AI since ChatGPT's launch in late 2022. Employment in computer systems design dropped 5%, while wages in the same sector rose 16.7%. Across the top 10% of AI-exposed industries overall, employment fell 1% while wages grew 8.5%.

The pattern is consistent: occupations with higher experience premiums (lawyers, credit analysts, marketing specialists) are seeing stronger wage growth as AI exposure increases. Workers under 25 are seeing employment declines.

AI is replacing the tasks that junior workers used to do to become senior workers, and that pipeline problem will compound.

Tufts mapped AI job risk across every U.S. city. The tech hubs building AI are the most vulnerable to it.

The first American AI Jobs Risk Index, published by Tufts University's Digital Planet, projects that 9.3 million U.S. jobs are vulnerable to AI displacement within two to five years. Unlike prior studies that measured only exposure, this one measures actual vulnerability to job loss, connected to projected income loss and geography.

The counterintuitive headline: San Jose, Washington D.C., Boulder, Durham-Chapel Hill, and San Francisco lead in percentage of local employment at risk. Tufts calls them the "Wired Belts," a deliberate echo of the Rust Belt.

The regions building AI are also the regions most dependent on the cognitive knowledge work that AI is best positioned to automate. The irony has a name now.

Virginia residents are paying 267% more for electricity. Data centers are the reason.

In areas with high data center concentration, electricity prices have jumped 267% over five years. In Virginia's "Data Center Alley," 78% of voters blame data centers for their rising bills. The state's regulators approved a Dominion Energy rate increase adding $11.24/month to typical residential bills in 2026.

The policy response is accelerating. Lawmakers in more than 30 states have introduced over 300 bills on data center moratoriums, tax incentives, and energy policy this year alone. Virginia passed 15 data center bills in a single session.

The AI boom has a utility bill, and the people living near the servers are the ones paying it.

🧭 MAKING MOVES
Only 43% of workers plan to job search in 2026. Last year it was 93%.

A Monster survey of 1,504 U.S. workers found job search intent collapsed from 93% to 43%. It's not satisfaction. It's exhaustion. Glassdoor named "fatigue" its word of the year, citing AI disruption, job search burnout, and layoff anxiety.

The downstream numbers tell the rest of the story: 52% of respondents expect nationwide layoffs to increase, 40% think the market will get worse, and another 40% don't think it'll improve at all. Nearly two-thirds say they're turning to extra income streams instead of searching.

When the search itself becomes the burnout source, people stop looking and start building. That behavioral shift is real, and it's reshaping the market from the bottom up.

5 free (or nearly free) certifications that actually lead to jobs right now

52% of U.S. workers upskilled this year, and the ones who finished saw an average income increase of $8,000. But "upskill" is vague advice. Here are five specific programs that are free or close to it, with real outcomes attached.

1. Google Career Certificates (Data Analytics, Cybersecurity, IT Support, Project Management, UX Design, or AI). 1 million graduates and counting, with 75% reporting a positive career outcome within six months. $49/month on Coursera (most finish in 3-6 months), and 100,000 need-based scholarships are available. Over 150 employers, including Deloitte, Target, and Verizon, actively hire from the program.

2. ISC2 Certified in Cybersecurity (CC). This one is completely free: free training, free exam, through ISC2's One Million Certified in Cybersecurity pledge. It's entry-level, globally recognized, and cybersecurity roles are projected to grow 33% this decade. You get 180 days of self-paced training.

3. IBM SkillsBuild. Over 1,000 free courses in AI, data science, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. Completers earn industry-recognized digital badges through Credly and get access to IBM's Talent Network for job postings. No cost, no catch.

4. Harvard CS50. The most popular intro to computer science course in the world, completely free to audit. Covers Python, SQL, JavaScript, and HTML/CSS. Over a million people have started it. Won't land you a job on its own, but it's the foundation that makes everything else click.

5. AWS Cloud Practitioner Essentials. Free training course from Amazon for cloud fundamentals. The exam itself costs $100, but AWS cert holders saw a 27% average salary increase. Cloud roles are one of the few categories still showing consistent hiring growth.

The pattern across all five: the programs with the best outcomes aren't the most expensive ones. They're the ones backed by employers who've agreed to hire from them.

🐝 TRY THIS
Look up your city and occupation on the Tufts AI Jobs Risk Index

The Tufts American AI Jobs Risk Index ranks 784 occupations by AI displacement vulnerability, broken down by metro area and state. Look up your occupation, then your city. If you're in a high-risk category, the next move is specific: identify one skill you can add in 90 days that shifts you toward human-AI collaboration work (the category that grew 22% per the HBS study from last issue).

Two concrete entry points that cost under $300 and take under six months: the Google AI Professional Certificate (~$49/month on Coursera, 3-4 months) or AWS Cloud Practitioner ($150, self-paced). Check where you stand, then act on it this week.

📖 INTERESTING READS
Three things worth reading this week

Artemis II launches today, sending humans beyond Earth orbit for the first time since 1972. Four astronauts, including the first woman and first person of color to leave low Earth orbit, will fly a 10-day loop around the Moon at 6:24 p.m. EDT from Kennedy Space Center. NASA (April 2026)

A "mirror" molecule can starve cancer cells without harming healthy ones. Researchers found a rare mirror-image version of the amino acid cysteine dramatically slows certain cancer cell growth while leaving healthy cells untouched, opening a potential new class of targeted therapies with fewer side effects. ScienceDaily (March 2026)

Depression may start with an energy problem in brain cells. A new study found that brain cells in young adults with major depressive disorder produce more energy at rest but fail to ramp up when demand increases, suggesting the condition may have a metabolic root, not just a chemical one. ScienceDaily (March 2026)

Job market signals, the impact of AI, and the moves people are making. Forward it to someone who'd find it useful.

Reply to this email - what's been the most useful signal for you lately?

Recommended for you